The Georgia Cognitive Skills Experiment: Process Evaluation, Phase Two (NCJ 248529, 2001)

Georgia's parole pipeline has contracted sharply: the Board of Pardons and Paroles released 5,588 people in FY2025, down roughly 42 percent from 9,455 in FY2019, while the share of people leaving prison at sentence expiration climbed. Life-sentenced Georgians now serve an average of 28 years before release — up from less than nine in 1973 — and the Board granted parole in 4.5 percent of life cases in FY2024. The result is a smaller, later, more selective release system operating alongside an aging prison population and record corrections spending.

Georgia holds roughly 47,000 to 53,600 people in state custody depending on which official count is used, at an incarceration rate of 881 per 100,000 residents — among the highest of any American state and above every independent democratic nation. That population is majority Black by a margin state demographics do not explain, aging fast, and increasingly serving life and long-term sentences, while the parole supervision population has fallen by more than half since 2011. That no single consistent public number describes the system's size is itself a central finding.

Georgia measures reentry success with a single narrow number — felony reconviction within three years — which has ranged from roughly 24 to 31 percent over the past decade and excludes misdemeanor arrests, parole and probation violations, reoffending after year three, and everyone who dies before the window closes. Behind that number, the state releases roughly 12,000 to 16,000 people a year — more than half at sentence expiration with no parole supervision — into a reentry system with 2,344 transitional beds, no dedicated reentry line item in the GDC budget, and a first-two-weeks death risk 12.7 times the general population's. The interventions that reduce recidivism are among the best-evidenced in corrections; Georgia's spending on them is a rounding error.

Georgia has repeatedly designed, piloted, and evaluated evidence-based rehabilitation models — cognitive-skills curricula, earned-time incentives, intensive supervision, reentry housing, addiction treatment — and then starved them of scale and funding. The national evidence base is unambiguous: cognitive-behavioral programs reduce recidivism 20–30%, correctional education cuts recidivism odds by 43% and returns $4–$5 per dollar spent, and vocational completers in Georgia recidivate at roughly half the general rate. Georgia's FY2027 budget nonetheless cut education line items while adding $22.1 million in new surveillance spending, and the state still publishes no outcome data that would let the public judge whether any of its programs work.